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Jeremy Howard on winning the Predict Grant Applications Competition

medium.comby Kaggle TeamApril 20, 20203 min read1 views
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Because I have recently started employment with Kaggle, I am not eligible to win any prizes. Which means the prize-winner for this comp is Quan Sun (team ‘student1’)! Congratulations! My approach to this competition was to first analyze the data in Excel pivottables. I looked for groups which had high or low application success rates. In this way, I found a large number of strong predictors — including by date (new years day is a strong predictor, as are applications processed on a Sunday), and for many fields a null value was highly predictive. I then used C# to normalize the data into Grants and Persons objects, and constructed a dataset for modeling including these features: CatCode, NumPerPerson, PersonId, NumOnDate, AnyHasPhd, Country, Dept, DayOfWeek, HasPhd, IsNY, Month, NoClass, No

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