Interview-Informed Generative Agents for Product Discovery: A Validation Study
arXiv:2603.29890v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong performance on standardized social science instruments, but their value for product discovery remains unclear. We investigate whether interview-informed generative agents can simulate user responses in concept testing scenarios. Using in-depth workflow interviews with knowledge workers, we created personalized agents and compared their evaluations of novel AI concepts against the same participants' responses. Our results show that agents are distribution-calibrated but identity-imprecise: they fail to replicate the specific individual they are grounded in, yet approximate population-level response distributions. These findings highlight both the potential and the limits of LLM simulation in desig
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Abstract:Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong performance on standardized social science instruments, but their value for product discovery remains unclear. We investigate whether interview-informed generative agents can simulate user responses in concept testing scenarios. Using in-depth workflow interviews with knowledge workers, we created personalized agents and compared their evaluations of novel AI concepts against the same participants' responses. Our results show that agents are distribution-calibrated but identity-imprecise: they fail to replicate the specific individual they are grounded in, yet approximate population-level response distributions. These findings highlight both the potential and the limits of LLM simulation in design research. While unsuitable as a substitute for individual-level insights, simulation may provide value for early-stage concept screening and iteration, where distributional accuracy suffices. We discuss implications for integrating simulation responsibly into product development workflows.
Comments: CHI 2026 Honourable Mention
Subjects:
Human-Computer Interaction (cs.HC); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
Cite as: arXiv:2603.29890 [cs.HC]
(or arXiv:2603.29890v1 [cs.HC] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.29890
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
Related DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1145/3772318.3791918
DOI(s) linking to related resources
Submission history
From: Zichao Wang [view email] [v1] Tue, 10 Mar 2026 22:54:45 UTC (16,433 KB)
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