Competition or ‘co-opetition’: how is convergence shaping Sino-US AI race? - South China Morning Post
Competition or ‘co-opetition’: how is convergence shaping Sino-US AI race? South China Morning Post
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China's homegrown silicon suppliers gain traction as Nvidia struggles to get its chips into the market — Huawei, Cambricon and more step up to fill crucial market gap - Tom's Hardware
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[OpenAI] Industrial policy for the Intelligence Age
As we move toward superintelligence, incremental policy updates won’t be enough. To kick-start this much needed conversation, OpenAI is offering a slate of people-first policy ideas(opens in a new window) designed to expand opportunity, share prosperity, and build resilient institutions—ensuring that advanced AI benefits everyone. These ideas are ambitious, but intentionally early and exploratory. We offer them not as a comprehensive or final set of recommendations, but as a starting point for discussion that we invite others to build on, refine, challenge, or choose among through the democratic process. To help sustain momentum, OpenAI is: welcoming and organizing feedback through [email protected] establishing a pilot program of fellowships and focused research grants of u
AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I've updated towards shorter timelines
I've recently updated towards substantially shorter AI timelines and much faster progress in some areas. [1] The largest updates I've made are (1) an almost 2x higher probability of full AI R&D automation by EOY 2028 (I'm now a bit below 30% [2] while I was previously expecting around 15% ; my guesses are pretty reflectively unstable) and (2) I expect much stronger short-term performance on massive and pretty difficult but easy-and-cheap-to-verify software engineering (SWE) tasks that don't require that much novel ideation [3] . For instance, I expect that by EOY 2026, AIs will have a 50%-reliability [4] time horizon of years to decades on reasonably difficult easy-and-cheap-to-verify SWE tasks that don't require much ideation (while the high reliability—for instance, 90%—time horizon will
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